07.01.2014

A Wavelet-Based Approach to Filter Out Symmetric Macroeconomic Shocks

Hauptveranstaltung: Vortragsreihe "WIFO-Extern"
Personen: Jitka Pomenkova
Sprache: Deutsch
Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
We propose a novel method for econometric time series analysis. This method acts as the comovement-selective filter and is useful to filter out the cycles that are caused by a global event present in the reference time series.We demonstrate its applicability on removing symmetric macroeconomic shock caused by recent financial crisis from the business cycle of the euro area according to the comovement with the USA. The application allowing to identify the country-specific business cycles in the Visegrad countries data using the comovement with Germany is also presented. The method is based on the continuous wavelet transform, its inverse and the comovement measurement in the time-frequency domain. Its application also enables to uncover detailed development of the business cycle synchronisation in time.